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近期日元表现出众。兑美元不断走高,大有扭转自2006年夏季套息交易引发的跌势,三个月 LIBOR 美元利率与日元利率之差已经由之前的4.76%降至4.00%。随着全球经济放缓隐忧的渐渐浮现,日本投资者正加速将海外资产汇回国内,对日元构成利好支撑。鉴于此,有分析指出日元兑美元最终将涨至101.25,或者在此基础上进一步上涨6%,日元贸易加权汇率将随同涨至130,日元长期疲软走势似乎即将结束?
The yen has done well in the near future. Against the dollar continued to rise, greatly reversed since the summer 2006 hedging transactions triggered the decline in three-month LIBOR dollar interest rates and the yen interest rate difference from the previous 4.76% to 4.00%. As the global economic slowdown gradually emerges, Japanese investors are accelerating the repatriation of overseas assets to Japan and constitute a good support for the yen. In view of this, some analysts pointed out that the yen will eventually rise to 101.25 against the US dollar, or on this basis, further 6% rise, the yen trade-weighted exchange rate will be accompanied by rose to 130, the long-term yen weakness seems to be coming to an end?