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本文提出有效经济增长的概念,构建了有效经济增长动态模型,建立了超额人均收入等相关变量的测定方法,试图从一个全新的角度重新审视两岸经济的发展状况。基本结论是:同一经济发展阶段的增长水平相比较,大陆有效经济增长水平低、增速慢;同一时期增长趋势相比较,我国台湾地区有效经济增长停滞不前,大陆则仍处于加速上升阶段,有望实现赶超,但当前大陆有效经济增长的阻滞力大于台湾,要想顺利实现经济赶超,需通过多种途径克服有效经济增长的减损强度,以实现经济赶超与有效经济增长的可持续性。
This paper proposes the concept of effective economic growth, constructs a dynamic model of effective economic growth, and establishes the measurement method of related variables such as excess per capita income, trying to re-examine the development of cross-Strait economy from a completely new perspective. The basic conclusion is that compared with the growth level in the same economic development stage, the effective economic growth in the Mainland is low and the growth rate is slow. Compared with the growth trend in the same period, the effective economic growth in Taiwan in China has been stagnating while that in the Mainland is still at an accelerating and rising stage. It is hoped that catch-up will be achieved. However, at present, the blockade of effective economic growth in the Mainland is greater than that in Taiwan. If it is necessary to achieve the smooth surpassing of the economy, it is necessary to overcome the de-emphasis of effective economic growth in various ways in order to achieve economic catch-up and effective economic growth Persistent.