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从6月起,玉米生长进入敏感期,新玉米供需紧张预期使得新作种植期间的天气格外受到关注,价格易涨难跌。三季度,国内玉米将进入传统上涨期。随着长江中下游地区迎来主汛期,产区旱情将得到根本性缓解,长江流域养殖业逐步恢复,玉米需求将出现大幅反弹,同时,深加工产品消费也进入旺季,而供应逐渐进入断档期。现货供需预期偏紧,后期玉米价格易涨难跌,政策调控力度仍需加大。
From June onwards, corn growth into a sensitive period, the new corn supply and demand is expected to make the new crop during the planting of the weather was particularly concerned about the price easily up fell. In the third quarter, domestic corn will enter the traditional rising period. With the arrival of the main flood season in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the drought in the producing areas will be fundamentally alleviated and the aquaculture industry in the Yangtze River will gradually recover. The demand for maize will rebound sharply. At the same time, the consumption of deep-processing products will also enter the peak season while the supply gradually enters the off-season. Expectations of tight spot supply and demand, the late maize prices fell hard to fall, the policy control efforts still need to increase.