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文章基于2000年至2006年中国海关数据库、工业企业数据库和反倾销数据库,采用离散时间风险模型,以中国企业对美国出口为例,从产品层面考察了反倾销壁垒对企业出口持续时间的影响。研究结果表明,在样本期内,美国对中国发起的反倾销调查会对中国企业对美出口的持续时间产生显著影响,反倾销的不同阶段均会导致中国企业对美出口持续时间的缩短,但不同阶段对企业出口持续时间的影响不同,其中初裁的影响最大。在考虑到不同的子样本后,文章的研究结论依然成立。
Based on China Customs database, industrial enterprise database and anti-dumping database from 2000 to 2006, the article uses the discrete-time risk model. Taking the Chinese exports to the United States as an example, the article examines the impact of anti-dumping barriers on the export duration of enterprises from the product level. The results show that the anti-dumping investigations initiated by the United States against China during the sample period will have a significant impact on the duration of Chinese exports to the United States. Different stages of anti-dumping will lead to the shortening of the duration of Chinese exports to the United States, but at different stages The impact on the duration of exports of enterprises is different, of which the impact of the preliminary ruling. After considering different sub-samples, the conclusion of the article still holds.