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本文以电力企业为核心分析了CO2的价值链构成,并在CO2价值链的基础上,运用一般均衡模型设计了CCS的商业运营模式。在一般均衡模型的基础上,本文运用系统动力学的方法对商业运营系统了仿真模拟。根据模型及仿真结果,提出碳排放税的制定、煤电联动、CDM支持CCS和存储地的类型确认是中国以商业化模式推广CCS最关键的4个方面。
Based on the CO2 value chain, this paper analyzes the composition of the value chain of CO2, and uses the general equilibrium model to design the business operation mode of CCS. Based on the general equilibrium model, this paper uses the system dynamics method to simulate the commercial operation system. According to the model and simulation results, it is proposed that the most important four aspects of CCS should be commercialized in China, including the establishment of carbon tax, coal linkage, CDM support of CCS and storage location.