论文部分内容阅读
法国客运量的预测主要是预测地区间旅客的客流量。采用的预测方法有经济计量法和社会经济法两种。经济计量法是把过去城市间运量与有关经济参数的相互关系外延到将来。它是以模型为基础,结合国民收入水平提高的趋势和影响,对不同运输方式分别作了考虑,一方面利用了法国经济发展的宏观经济数据,另一方面对竞争情况的变化作了补充假定(相对于原油价格
French passenger traffic forecast is mainly to predict passenger traffic between regions. The forecasting methods adopted are two methods of economic measurement and socio-economic law. The econometric method is to extend the relationship between the past inter-city traffic and the relevant economic parameters to the future. It is based on a model and takes into account the trends and impacts of rising national income levels, taking into account different modes of transport, taking into account the macroeconomic data of France’s economic development on the one hand and the supplementary assumptions of changes in competition on the other hand (Relative to crude oil prices