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为解决日益紧张的城市交通问题,我国多数特大城市正筹备或着手地铁规划.地铁是一项投资大、影响广的重大工程项目,须充分做好可行性研究.建立模型预测地铁客流是可行性研究中一项主要内容.如何根据国内外城市交通预测的理论和经验,结合实际情况,采用恰当的建模方法以满足地铁规划需求,已成为我国规划研究人员的重要课题之一.在广州地铁可行性研究基础上,本文在这一方面作一探讨.
In order to solve the increasingly tense urban traffic problem, most of China’s mega cities are planning or embarking on subway planning. The subway is a major project with a large investment and a wide range of impacts. It is necessary to do a full feasibility study. It is feasible to establish a model to predict the passenger flow of the subway. A main content of the study. How to use the appropriate modeling methods to meet the needs of subway planning based on the theory and experience of domestic and foreign urban traffic prediction, combined with the actual situation, has become one of the important topics for planning researchers in China. Based on the feasibility study, this article makes a discussion in this aspect.