交通银行首席经济学家连平认为,以经济“临时硬着陆”换取结构改革的成功,这样的思路是不现实的。不要忘记1979年-1982年美国里根总统上台后带来的经济阵痛。当时成千上万家企业倒闭,失业人数突破千万,经济出现负增长。美国最终走出了阵痛,是因为美国是个高收入国家,同时拥有较为健全的社会保障体系,而今天的中国经济尚没有摆脱“中等收入陷阱”的威胁。 Lian Ping, chief economist of Bank of Communications, believes that such an idea is not realistic in exchange for the success of structural reform in the light of economic “temporary hard landing ”. Do not forget the economic pain caused by President Reagan from 1979 to 1982. At that time, thousands of enterprises went bankrupt, the number of unemployed exceeded 10 million and the economy showed negative growth. The United States has finally emerged from the pain because the United States is a high-income country and has a sound social security system. However, China’s economy today has not yet got rid of the threat of a “middle-income trap.”