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在研究国外空间站可更换单元(ORU)寿命预测方法的基础上,分析了现有预测方法的特点,提出了一种基于W-Bayesian的空间站ORU寿命预测方法,并论述了该方法的可行性与实施要点,为我国未来载人航天空间站任务提供一种有效的ORU寿命预测方法。
Based on the study of life expectancy of replaceable unit (ORU) in foreign space stations, the characteristics of the existing forecasting methods are analyzed and a method of life prediction based on W-Bayesian for ORS is proposed. The feasibility of this method is discussed Implementation of the key points for China’s future manned space station mission to provide an effective ORU life prediction method.