尽管现有的发展模式让中国经济在过去三十多年取得巨大成就,但它只是一种追赶式发展模式,展望未来,之前的成功模式对从要素驱动转向效率驱动乃至创新驱动的发展模式不可能延续。从理论、历史和统计三位一体进行学理性分析,中国经济超预期大幅下滑的深层次原因更多是制度层面上的问题,是市场化改革不够深入、政府与市场及社会治理边界不够合理、市场经济制度不够完善造成的。中国需要尽快从要素驱动转向效率驱动、创新驱动,其关键是进一步地解放思想,推进改革开放,让中国沿着经济自由化、市场化、民营化道路前进,让市场在资源配置中真正发挥决定性作用和让民营经济发挥主要作用。市场化改革千头万绪,民营经济主体化、金融市场自由化、土地要素市场化是三大重要切入口。与此同时,为了增强改革的执行力和发展的驱动力,还需要从法治、执行力和民主监督三个维度加强综合治理,推动政府善治,建设有限、有为政府。 Although the existing development model has made China’s economy tremendous in the past three decades, it is only a catch-up development model. Looking ahead, the previous success model has shifted from a factor-driven model to an efficiency-driven and even innovation-driven model. May continue. From the theoretical, historical and statistical trinity of rational analysis, the Chinese economy unexpectedly sharp decline in the deeper reason is more institutional problems, the market-oriented reform is not deep enough, the government and the market and social governance boundaries are not reasonable, the market economy System is not perfect caused. China needs to move from factor-driven to efficiency-driven and innovation-driven as soon as possible. The key is to further emancipate the mind, promote reform and opening up and let China move along the path of economic liberalization, marketization and privatization so that the market can truly play its decisive role in resource allocation Role and let the private economy play a major role. The market-oriented reform has many things to do, the private economy is dominated, the financial market liberalization and the marketization of land are three major import points. At the same time, in order to enhance the implementation of the reform and the driving force for its development, it is also necessary to strengthen the comprehensive governance in the three dimensions of the rule of law, executive power and democratic oversight so as to promote the good governance of the government and the construction of a limited and promising government.