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文章从国际视角量化分析了国际天然气价格与石油价格之间的动态关系,并针对我国当前的天然气价格改革现状,对我国天然气市场发展和定价机制的改革方向提出了政策建议。研究发现,页岩气革命导致了当前国际油气价格呈现“分离”态势,这也是天然气市场化的必然结果。然而,油气价格之间的弱联动性仍然存在,且在当前国际低能源价格的态势下,我国应抓住契机,进一步推动天然气价格的市场化改革。
The article quantitatively analyzes the dynamic relationship between international natural gas prices and oil prices from an international perspective. In the light of the current status of natural gas price reform in our country, some policy recommendations are proposed for the reform of China’s natural gas market development and pricing mechanism. The study found that the shale gas revolution has led to the current “international oil and gas prices show ” separation "situation, which is the inevitable result of natural gas market. However, the weak linkage between oil and gas prices still exists. Under the current situation of low international energy prices, our country should seize the opportunity to further promote the market-based reform of natural gas prices.