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2012年以来,国内豆油市场行情跌宕起伏,1～8月呈反“V”字型走势。当前对干旱题材的炒作已结束,豆油基本面转好,短期内行情走势以高位弱势震荡为主。展望第4季度,油脂消费将进入旺季,美国大豆减产抑制进口,国产大豆播种面积大幅下滑致产量剧减,豆油新增供应量减少而库存消化加快,未来市场供应或将偏紧,豆油价格有望走强。
Since 2012, the market ups and downs of the domestic soybean oil market, from January to August was anti- “V ” font trend. The current speculation on the subject of drought has ended, soybean oil fundamentals turn for the better, short-term market trend to the main weak shocks. Looking forward to the fourth quarter, oil consumption will enter the peak season, the United States reduced production of soybeans to suppress imports, a sharp decline in domestic soybean acreage due to the dramatic decline in output, reduced supply of soybean oil and accelerated inventory digestion, the future market supply or tight, oil prices are expected Stronger.