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福尔摩斯式的罪案现场故事,往往是开始于一个雨夜。但是前不久,美国《纽约时报》分析近6年纽约市每日降雨量及凶案的关系后发现,下大雨的时候,较少凶案发生。分析数据显示,在没有下雨的日子,平均每10天发生17宗凶案,但当降雨量达到2.5厘米以上,平均会降至14宗。专家研究发现,由于伤人罪多涉及到陌生人,下雨天会减低大家接触陌生人的机会,以此减少类似罪案的发生。这样的研究是否经得起推敲呢?只能是仁者见仁、智者见智了。本期小歌老师为我们带来了三个短篇随想,请读者朋友们细细品读吧。
The Sherlock Holmes-style crime scene often begins on a rainy night. However, not long ago, the United States “New York Times” analyzed the relationship between the daily rainfall and the murder case in New York City in the past six years and found that when heavy rains fell, fewer crimes occurred. The analysis shows that on average, there were 17 murders every 10 days on rainy days, but when the rainfall reached 2.5 cm or more, the average number dropped to 14 cases. The expert study found that since the crime of wounding involves more strangers, the rainy days will reduce the chances of everyone being exposed to strangers, thereby reducing the occurrence of similar crimes. Can such research stand up to scrutiny? It can only be seen by the benevolent and the wise. In this issue, Xiaoge teacher brought us three short articles of thought. Readers and friends are invited to read carefully.