自2014年7月以来,国际原油价格大幅走低,下跌幅度已超过50%。如此巨大的价格跌幅如果放在5年前,足以导致可再生能源产业濒临破产。但今天,这种情况已有所改变。本文列出了七大理由,解释了为什么油价下跌不会导致向清洁能源转型目标的偏离。1太阳能与石油不存在竞争石油是用作汽车燃料,而可再生能源则是用作发电,二者实际上并不存在竞争关系。如果将石油用作发电,即使其价格跌破50美元/桶,其发电成本仍然过高。真正与太阳能存在竞争关系的是煤炭、天然气、水能和核能。而太阳能又属于新能源,仅占当今电力市场不到1%的市场份额,但根据国际能源署的预测,到2050年太阳能将成为全球最大的单一电力 Since July 2014, the international crude oil prices have dropped sharply, dropping by more than 50%. If such a huge price drop five years ago, enough to lead to the brink of bankruptcy of renewable energy industry. But today, this situation has changed. This article lists the top seven reasons why the fall in oil prices does not result in a shift toward a clean energy transition. 1 There is no competition from solar energy and oil. Oil is used as fuel for automobiles. Renewable energy is used for electricity generation. There is actually no competition between the two. If oil is used for power generation, its cost of generating electricity is still too high, even if it goes below $ 50 a barrel. The real competition with solar energy is coal, natural gas, water and nuclear energy. Solar energy, in turn, is a new source of energy, accounting for less than 1% of the market share in the electricity market today. However, according to the International Energy Agency’s forecast, by 2050, solar energy will become the world’s largest single electricity