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本文分析了1970—2003年世界主要国家自然资源丰裕度与经济增长之间的关系,在控制投资率、科技水平、人口增长率等一系列变量后,世界主要国家自然资源丰裕度与经济增长存在正相关关系,不存在“资源诅咒”。西欧沿海国家自然资源丰裕度与经济增长存在显著的正相关关系。尽管丰富的资源把科威特、卡塔尔等海湾国家带入富国行列,海湾国家人均GDP与资源丰裕度之间存在正相关关系,但由于人口快速增长、低投资率和落后的科技水平,严重依赖资源产业的海湾国家难以获得持续的经济增长。
This paper analyzes the relationship between the abundance of natural resources of the world’s major countries and economic growth from 1970 to 2003. After controlling a series of variables such as investment rate, science and technology level and population growth rate, the natural resource abundance and economic growth of major world countries Positive correlation does not exist “resource curse ”. There is a significant positive correlation between the abundance of natural resources and economic growth in the coastal countries of Western Europe. Although rich resources bring the Gulf countries such as Kuwait and Qatar into the ranks of the rich countries, there is a positive correlation between the GDP per capita and the abundance of resources in the Gulf countries. However, due to the rapid population growth, low investment rate and the backward scientific and technological level, the resources industry Of the Gulf countries difficult to obtain sustained economic growth.