论文部分内容阅读
本文检验了价格“倒挂”背景下,东南亚大米市场和我国市场的价格联系。研究发现,越南市场、泰国市场和我国大米市场之间存在着稳定的价格联系,价格传导关系呈现明显的滞后效应和调整效应。进一步研究表明,最低收购价政策短期内抵挡了东南亚大米价格的冲击影响,推高了市场价格,使价格“倒挂”短时间内难以扭转。价格“倒挂”格局形成后,我国大米市场价格持续高于均衡价格,受东南亚大米价格冲击影响增大,持续时间较长。因此,要提高我国大米市场竞争力关键是统筹国际国内因素,从最低收购价政策、进出口管控和降低成本方面综合施策。
This paper examines the price “upside down ” background, the price of Southeast Asian rice market and the price of our market. The study found that there is a stable price connection between Vietnam market, Thai market and China’s rice market, and the relationship between price transmission shows obvious lag effect and adjustment effect. Further studies show that the minimum purchase price policy in the short term to resist the impact of the impact of rice prices in Southeast Asia, pushing up the market price so that the price “upside down ” is difficult to reverse within a short time. Price “upside down ” pattern formed, China’s rice market prices continued to be higher than the equilibrium price, affected by the impact of Southeast Asian rice prices increased for a long time. Therefore, to improve the competitiveness of China’s rice market, the key is to co-ordinate international and domestic factors, from the minimum purchase price policy, import and export control and reduce costs comprehensive policy.