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2013年上半年国内经济的风险和增长形势都发生了变化,而改革仍迟迟看不到推进的步伐。随着风险的增加和经济增长形势的日趋复杂,下半年改革将成为标本兼治的唯一出路,而方法和路径的选择将是改革成败的关键。一、中国经济谋定而后动今年以来,中国经济一直处于弱势增长的态势。与去年9月份开始的新一轮投资拉动不同,今年政策一直处于真空状态。曾预期2季度后半段会有政策出台,定调未来发展的基调。但实际上,改革的难度和阻力都超过了我们的想像,新一届政府并没有在经济政策上急于烧上三把火,这既是一种务实的工作态度,同时也证明了改
In the first half of 2013, risks and growth in the domestic economy changed. However, the reform still lags behind the pace of progress. With the increase of risks and the increasingly complicated economic growth situation, the reform will be the only way out for solving both the symptoms and the root causes in the second half of the year. The choice of the methods and paths will be the key to the success or failure of the reform. First, the Chinese economy has set a new threshold this year, the Chinese economy has been in a situation of weak growth. Unlike the new round of investment pull started in September last year, this year’s policy has been in a vacuum. It is expected that the second half of Q2 will be introduced policies to set the tone for future development. However, in fact, the difficulty and resistance of the reform have exceeded our imagination. The new administration has not been anxious to burn three fires on its economic policies. This is both a pragmatic attitude and a proof of reform