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2016年,全球经济长期继续保持低速发展态势。2015年全球经济增长3.1%,按照IMF最新预测,2016年和2017年分别增长3.4%和3.6%,经济复苏活动趋于缓慢。新的一年,全球经济仍处于调整之中,美国逐步退出量化宽松政策,新兴市场普遍放缓,大宗商品价格下跌。国内方面,投资颓势难改,房地产和制造业均处于去库存阶段,消费保持平稳。随着供给侧改革的推进,生产层面和金融链条的风险有待释放,面临企业盈利恶化、银行坏账增加等风险,
In 2016, the global economy continued to maintain its low-speed development for a long period of time. Global economic growth in 2015 was 3.1%. According to the IMF's latest forecast, growth in 2016 and 2017 increased by 3.4% and 3.6% respectively, and economic recovery tends to be slow. In the new year, the global economy is still under adjustment. The United States has gradually withdrawn from the policy of quantitative easing. The emerging markets generally slow down and the prices of bulk commodities have dropped. In China, the decline in investment is hard to be changed. Both real estate and manufacturing industries are in the process of destocking, and consumption remains stable. With the reform of the supply side, the risks at the production level and in the financial chain are yet to be released, facing the risks of deteriorating corporate profits and increasing bank bad debts,