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由于欧债系统性冲击减弱以及全球经济较长时间内处于“U”型底部区域,下半年铜价维持振荡格局,预计沪铜波动区间为52000~60000元/吨。近期受欧债局势再度恶化的影响,沪铜反弹至56500元/吨的关键压力位附近后快速回调,相比伦铜已逼近前期低位而言,沪铜仍显偏强,沪伦比值维持在7.3左右。短期沪铜将以53000~55000元/吨为核心区间构筑中期调整底部,中期可能出现反弹行情,但全年仍整体维持振荡格局,呈“M”型。经济层面上,预计全球经济未来
Due to the weakened systemic impact of the European debt and the global economy at the bottom of the “U” shape for a long time, the price of copper in the second half of the year is expected to maintain its oscillation pattern. The fluctuation range of Shanghai copper is estimated to be 52000 ~ 60,000 yuan / ton. Recently by the deteriorating impact of the debt crisis in Europe, Shanghai copper rebounded to 56,500 yuan / ton key pressure quickly after the callback, compared to the previous low of the London Copper has been approaching, the Shanghai copper is still strong, the Shanghai-London ratio remained at 7.3 or so. Short-term Shanghai Copper will be 53000 ~ 55000 yuan / ton as the core interval to build the bottom mid-term adjustment, may rebound in the medium-term market, but still the whole year to maintain the oscillation pattern, was “M” type. At the economic level, the future of the global economy is expected