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中小企业对国民经济的发展具有深远的影响,但是,中小企业融资难等方面的缺陷加大了中小企业财务危机发生的几率。本文选取了17个中小型上市企业为样本,从偿债、营运、盈利和发展能力四个方面选取15个财务指标,首先对其进行KMO和Bartlett检验,其次利用SPSS20.0,采用主成分分析法提取5个公因子,并用该因子建立Logistic回归模型,最后选取45个外企作为样本对模型进行检验,为中小企业的投资者和管理者提供预警模型,以提高其安全性。
Small and medium-sized enterprises have a far-reaching impact on the development of the national economy. However, shortcomings in the financing difficulties of SMEs have increased the chances of financial crisis in small and medium-sized enterprises. This article selects 17 small and medium-sized listed companies as samples, selects 15 financial indexes from four aspects of debt-service, operation, profit-making and development ability, first of them carries out KMO and Bartlett test, then uses SPSS20.0, adopts principal component analysis Law to extract five common factors, and using this factor to establish Logistic regression model, and finally selected 45 foreign enterprises as a sample to test the model for SME investors and managers to provide early warning model to improve its safety.