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2013年6月份以来,我国CPI呈现出缓慢上升的趋势,9月份CPI已达到3.1%,PPI也呈现出逐渐回升的态势。构建的物价合成指数和扩散指数显示,物价一致合成指数的谷底在2012年8月已经显现,其后震荡回升,但回升过程较为缓慢,先行合成指数的谷底出现在2012年6月,至今已连续上升20个月。物价先行合成指数相对于物价一致合成指数的峰平均先行期为8个月。预计未来我国物价水平仍将处于缓慢回升的过程,2013年CPI上涨2.7%,2014年为3.5%,PPI在2013年下降1.6%,2014年下降0.5%
Since June 2013, China’s CPI has shown a slow upward trend. In September, the CPI has reached 3.1%, and the PPI has also shown a gradual upward trend. The price composite index and diffusion index constructed show that the trough of price composite index has appeared in August 2012 and then rebounded in turbulence but the recovery process is relatively slow. The trough of the composite index first appeared in June 2012 and has been continuously Up 20 months. The average lead-time for the price-first composite index relative to the price-consistent composite index is eight months. In the future, the price level of our country will still be in the process of slow recovery. In 2013, the CPI increased by 2.7% from 3.5% in 2014, while the PPI decreased by 1.6% in 2013 and dropped by 0.5%