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从美国次贷危机引发全球金融海啸爆发以后,全球经济直线下滑,各主要经济体重拳出击振兴经济,纷纷采用扩张型的财政政策并配合宽松的货币政策,但根据长期AD-AS模型和短期AD-AS模型我们可知道,在短期内,积极的财政政策及货币政策能够扩大需求,拉升经济,但是长期的AD-AS模型也告诉我们,经过短期的过度,产出恢复到充分就业的状态,扩张性的政策只会带来物价的上涨。在全球美元泛滥的背景下,给我国带来较大的输入通胀压力,但同时本国的扩张性政策带来的通胀也开始显现,并且随着2010年工资的大幅上调,刺激物价上涨到新的高点,本文就旨在通过工资价格螺旋模型来探讨在此背景下物价上涨的特点,以及结合央行近期的治理措施进行实证分析。
After the global financial tsunami triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, the global economy plummeted and all major economies started their heavy blows to rejuvenate the economy. They all adopted the expansionary fiscal policy and the loose monetary policy. However, according to the long-term AD-AS model and the short-term AD -AS Model We can see that in the short term, active fiscal and monetary policies can expand demand and boost the economy. However, the long-run AD-AS model also tells us that, after a short period of over-output, output will return to full employment , Expansionary policies will only bring about price increases. Under the background of global dollar inflation, China has brought greater pressure to import inflation. At the same time, inflation caused by its own expansionary policies also started to appear. With the sharp increase in wages in 2010, it stimulated prices to rise to new ones In this paper, we aim to explore the characteristics of price inflation in this context through the spiral model of wage price, and carry out an empirical analysis based on the recent central bank’s governance measures.