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新兴经济体之间贸易合作的加强是新兴经济体在金融危机下对世界经济影响加深的主要原因。其中,中国对新兴经济体出口的快速增长表现尤为抢眼。文章将市场潜力和二元边际纳入出口扩张模型,运用2002-2011年间中国及主要新兴经济体国家的相关经济指标,从供给和需求两个角度考察中国对新兴经济体出口快速扩张的机理。实证研究发现:需求方面,中国国内市场潜力以及新兴经济体国内市场潜力对其出口扩张均有正向促进作用,这一点正印证了“本地市场效应”;供给方面,内延边际和外延边际分别作为价格和数量的代理变量进入模型,很好地说明了中国的出口供给能力对其出口扩张的促进作用。
The strengthening of trade cooperation among emerging economies is the main reason that emerging economies deepen the world economy under the financial crisis. Among them, China’s rapid growth in exports to emerging economies is particularly striking. The article takes the market potential and the dual marginal into the model of export expansion. By using the relevant economic indicators of China and major emerging economies from 2002 to 2011, this paper examines the mechanism of China’s rapid expansion of exports to emerging economies from both supply and demand perspectives. The empirical study shows that: on the demand side, the potential of China’s domestic market and the potential of the domestic market in emerging economies have a positive role in promoting its export expansion. This is confirming the “local market effect”; on the supply side, the internal margin and extension The marginalis separately entered into the model as the proxy variables of price and quantity, which well illustrates the promotion effect of China’s export supply ability on its export expansion.